Facing the futurethe Balkans to the year 2010
Facing the future
the Balkans to the year 2010
Dokument öffnen (244.7KB)Datum der Veröffentlichung
2001Verlag / herausgebende Einrichtung
Zentrum für Europäische Integrationsforschung (ZEI)Verlagsort
BonnMetadaten
Zur Langanzeige
Zitierbarer Link (Handle URI) 
https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11811/10138
Inhalt
Part one of this paper examines the geopolitical context in which the Balkans are located at the end of the 20th century. It therefore assesses, in turn, the international environment, the regional parameters, and specific country developments. The bulk of the analysis projects and examines three alternative scenarios for the Balkans during the next decade: regional regression, secure development, and progressive integration.
The first scenario envisages a major breakdown in the region’s development, marked by accelerating domestic devolutions, spiralling regional rivalries, and growing international isolation. The second scenario depicts a minimal constructive evolution characterised by domestic stabilization, regional cooperation, and increasing international involvement. The third scenario posits a maximal constructive development for the Balkans, involving major domestic transformations, regional Synchronization, and international integration. It is in order to help promote the latter scenario that this paper is offered.
The first scenario envisages a major breakdown in the region’s development, marked by accelerating domestic devolutions, spiralling regional rivalries, and growing international isolation. The second scenario depicts a minimal constructive evolution characterised by domestic stabilization, regional cooperation, and increasing international involvement. The third scenario posits a maximal constructive development for the Balkans, involving major domestic transformations, regional Synchronization, and international integration. It is in order to help promote the latter scenario that this paper is offered.
Schlagwörter
Balkan, Regionalkonflikt, Bürgerkrieg, Regionale internationale Sicherheit, Wirtschaftliche Entwicklung, Wiederaufbau
Klassifikation (DDC)
320 PolitikReihe, Nummer
ZEI Discussion Paper ; C86ISBN/ISSN zugehöriger Publikation(en)
3-933307-86-4Bugajski, Janusz: Facing the future : the Balkans to the year 2010. Bonn: Zentrum für Europäische Integrationsforschung (ZEI), 2001. In: ZEI Discussion Paper, C86.
Online-Ausgabe in bonndoc: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11811/10138
Online-Ausgabe in bonndoc: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11811/10138
@techreport{handle:20.500.11811/10138,
author = {{Janusz Bugajski}},
title = {Facing the future : the Balkans to the year 2010},
publisher = {Zentrum für Europäische Integrationsforschung (ZEI)},
year = 2001,
series = {ZEI Discussion Paper},
volume = C86,
note = {Part one of this paper examines the geopolitical context in which the Balkans are located at the end of the 20th century. It therefore assesses, in turn, the international environment, the regional parameters, and specific country developments. The bulk of the analysis projects and examines three alternative scenarios for the Balkans during the next decade: regional regression, secure development, and progressive integration.
The first scenario envisages a major breakdown in the region’s development, marked by accelerating domestic devolutions, spiralling regional rivalries, and growing international isolation. The second scenario depicts a minimal constructive evolution characterised by domestic stabilization, regional cooperation, and increasing international involvement. The third scenario posits a maximal constructive development for the Balkans, involving major domestic transformations, regional Synchronization, and international integration. It is in order to help promote the latter scenario that this paper is offered.},
url = {https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11811/10138}
}
author = {{Janusz Bugajski}},
title = {Facing the future : the Balkans to the year 2010},
publisher = {Zentrum für Europäische Integrationsforschung (ZEI)},
year = 2001,
series = {ZEI Discussion Paper},
volume = C86,
note = {Part one of this paper examines the geopolitical context in which the Balkans are located at the end of the 20th century. It therefore assesses, in turn, the international environment, the regional parameters, and specific country developments. The bulk of the analysis projects and examines three alternative scenarios for the Balkans during the next decade: regional regression, secure development, and progressive integration.
The first scenario envisages a major breakdown in the region’s development, marked by accelerating domestic devolutions, spiralling regional rivalries, and growing international isolation. The second scenario depicts a minimal constructive evolution characterised by domestic stabilization, regional cooperation, and increasing international involvement. The third scenario posits a maximal constructive development for the Balkans, involving major domestic transformations, regional Synchronization, and international integration. It is in order to help promote the latter scenario that this paper is offered.},
url = {https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11811/10138}
}
Die folgenden Nutzungsbestimmungen sind mit dieser Ressource verbunden:
